The Crime Drop in America

Front Cover
Alfred Blumstein, Joel Wallman
Cambridge University Press, Sep 11, 2000 - Law - 330 pages
Violent crime in America shot up sharply in the mid-1980s and continued to climb until 1991 after which something unprecedented occurred. For the next seven years it declined to a level not seen since the 1960s. The puzzle of why this has happened has bedeviled criminologists, politicians, policy makers and average citizens. Numerous explanations have been put forth, from improvements in policing to the decline in crack cocaine use. The authors of this timely and critical book explain and assess the plausible causes and competing claims of credit for the crime drop. Here some of America's top criminologists examine the role of guns and gun violence, the growing prison population, homicide patterns, drug markets, economic opportunity, changes in policing, and changing demographics. As the authors point out, the trends that have contributed to the decline in violent crime--gun contol efforts (at both the local and federal levels), changes in drug markets (the decline of crack cocaine), and economic shifts (high employment in the flourishing economy of the late 1990s)--cannot continue indefinitely. The control and prevention of crime will continue to challenge scholars and public policy makers. This book presents the most authoritative, intelligent discussion available on the rise and fall of American violence. The perspectives offered here will undoubtedly influence the public debate and the planning of future responses to crime.
 

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Contents

The Recent Rise and Fall of American Violence
1
Disaggregating the Violence Trends
13
Guns and Gun Violence
45
The Limited Importance of Prison Expansion
97
Patterns in Adult Homicide 19801995
130
The Rise and Decline of Hard Drugs Drug Markets and Violence in InnerCity New York
164
Have Changes in Policing Reduced Violent Crime? An Assessment of the Evidence
207
An Economic Model of Recent Trends in Violence
266
Demographics and US Homicide
288
Index
319
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