Long-range Forecasting: From Crystal Ball to Computer |
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Contents
IMPLEMENTATION A Framework for Implementation | 25 |
RESEARCH STRATEGIES Using Theory | 46 |
Research Strategies | 48 |
Copyright | |
44 other sections not shown
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Common terms and phrases
accurate amalgamated forecast approach Armstrong asked assess average backcasts behavior bias bootstrapping model Box-Jenkins causal methods causal variables Chapter coefficient complex concurrent validity considered cost decision Delphi dependent segmentation dependent variable described developed discussion Ec Eco eclectic research econometric methods econometric model econometricians Economic empirical estimating current status evaluation examined example Exhibit expected experiment exponential smoothing feedback forecast horizon forecast validity forecasting change forecasting methods forecasting model historical data hypotheses important improved inputs Journal judges judgmental forecasting judgmental methods large changes linear long-range forecasting Management MAPE Markov chains measurement error moving averages multicollinearity multiple MULTIPLE COMPARISONS naive objective data objective methods obtained predictions priori analysis problem procedure Psychology reasonable regression analysis relationships Review role playing seasonal factors selection short-range forecasting simple simulation situation statistically significant strategy subjective summarized survey techniques tion trend uncertainty Wizard of Id
Bibliographic information
| Title | Long-range Forecasting: From Crystal Ball to Computer A Wiley interscience publication |
| Author | J. Scott Armstrong |
| Edition | illustrated |
| Publisher | John Wiley & Sons Canada, Limited, 1978 |
| Original from | the University of California |
| Digitized | 3 Feb 2007 |
| ISBN | 0471030023, 9780471030027 |
| Length | 612 pages |
| Subjects | › Business & Economics / Forecasting |
| Export Citation | BiBTeX EndNote RefMan |