Research on Judgment and Decision Making: Currents, Connections, and ControversiesWilliam M. Goldstein, Robin M. Hogarth This book offers an overview of recent research on the psychology of judgment and decision making, the field that investigates the processes by which people draw conclusions, reach evaluations, and make choices. An introductory, historically oriented chapter provides a way of viewing the overall structure of the field, its recent trends, and its possible directions. Subsequent sections present significant recent papers by prominent researchers, organized to reveal the currents, connections, and controversies that animate the field. Current trends in the field are illustrated with papers from ongoing streams of research. The papers on "connections" explore memory, explanation and argument, affect, attitudes, and motivation. Finally, a section on "controversies" presents problem representation, domain knowledge, content specificity, rule-governed versus rule-described behavior, and proposals for radical departures and new beginnings in the field. Students and researchers in psychology who have an interest in cognitive processes will find this text to be rewarding reading. |
Contents
Judgment and decision research Some historical context | 3 |
Currents | 67 |
Anomalies of judgment and choice | 69 |
Probabilistic mental models A Brunswikian theory of confidence | 95 |
Decision processes and their adaptiveness | 144 |
The adaptive decision maker Effort and accuracy in choice | 181 |
Acquisition and use of knowledge | 205 |
Learning from feedback Exactingness and incentives | 244 |
Connections | 429 |
Memory | 431 |
Explanations and arguments | 454 |
Decision making under ignorance Arguing with yourself | 482 |
Affect attitudes and motivation | 509 |
Controversies | 535 |
Paramorphic models versus process models | 537 |
Problem representation domain knowledge and content specificity | 552 |
Causation mental simulation and counterfactual reasoning | 285 |
Propensities and counterfactuals The loser that almost won | 322 |
Training and expertise | 342 |
Temporal context | 365 |
Group situations | 379 |
Subjective experience metacognition and insight | 393 |
Endowment and contrast in judgments of wellbeing | 411 |
Content and discontent Indications and implications of domain specificity in preferential decision making | 566 |
Rulegoverned versus ruledescribed behavior | 618 |
Radical departures and new beginnings | 657 |
Between hope and fear The psychology of risk | 681 |
Author index | 721 |
| 737 | |
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Research on Judgment and Decision Making: Currents, Connections, and ... William M. Goldstein,Robin M. Hogarth No preview available - 1997 |
Common terms and phrases
abstract alternative analysis arguments attribution Behavior and Human Brehmer causal choice cognitive confidence confirmation bias contrast correct correlation covariation criterion cue validities cues decision maker decision problems decision research domain effect Einhorn endowment effect environment evaluation evidence items exactingness example expected Experiment Experimental Psychology factors feedback focal set frequency function gambles Hammond heuristics Hogarth Htests hypothesis incentives inference interaction intuitive Isen Journal of Experimental Journal of Personality judgment and decision Kahneman law of large learning linear Lorenz curves lotteries memory modus ponens modus tollens motivation negative Nisbett option Organizational Behavior outcomes overconfidence paramorphic Personality and Social PMM theory positive affect predicted preference presented probabilistic probability problem prospect theory Psychological Review reasoning reference class regression relative representation response risk rule selected situations Slovic Social Psychology stimuli story strategy structure subjects target tion Tversky variables versus warranty