...think." Several distinguished computer scientists are quoted as predicting that in from three to fifteen years "we will have a machine with the general intelligence of an average human being . . . and in a few months [thereafter] it will be at genius level. . . ." The complete robot may be...

...hundreds of times smarter than people.51 By 1970 Marvin Minsky of MIT was willing to be more specific. "In from three to eight years we will have a machine with the general intelligence of a human being," he declared.52 In 1987 Hans Moravec from Carnegie Mellon University publicly stated...

...that the field was quite optimistic? After all, in a Life magazine article, you were quoted as saying "In from three to eight years we will have a machine...Shakespeare, grease a car, play office politics, tell a joke, have a fight. At that point the machine will begin to educate itself with fantastic speed. In a few...

...machinery replacing human brainpower. Here, for example, is MIT professor Marvin Minsky's 1970 prediction: In from three to eight years, we will have a machine...Shakespeare, grease a car, play office politics, tell a joke, have a fight. At that point, the machine will begin to educate itself with fantastic speed. In a few...

...Machines will be capable, within twenty years, of doing any work that a man can do. (Simon, 1965)" In from three to eight years, we will have a machine...Shakespeare, grease a car, play office politics, tell a joke, have a fight. At that point, the machine will begin to educate itself with fantastic speed. In a few...

...machines will equal humans (Newell and Simon 1972); by 1970, Martin Minsky confidently stated that 'In from three to eight years we will have a machine with the general intelligence of a human being' (Minsky 1967); and even as late as 1983, Professor Edward Fredkin predicted that: There...

...decipher its mysteries. In 1970, Marvin Minsky a prominent researcher in artificial intelligence claimed: In from three to eight years, we will have a machine...Shakespeare, grease a car, play office politics, tell a joke, have a fight. At that point, the machine will begin to educate itself with fantastic speed. In a few...

...borderline. It is easy to become old. And impossible to go back. 39 ii "In from three to eight yea rs, we will have a machine with the general intelligence...Shakespeare, grease a car, play office politics, tell a joke, have a fight. At that point, the machine will begin to educate itself with fantastic speed. In a few...

...scientist Marvin Minsky assured a Life magazine reporter in 1970 that "in from three to eight years we'll have a machine with the general intelligence of an average human being ... a machine that will be able to read Shakespeare and grease a car." The story is well told by now...